Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000639 0.000732 0.000832 0.000945 0.001070 0.001203 0.001356
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000490 0.000619 0.000765 0.000944 0.001153 0.001389 0.001675
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000418 0.000563 0.000736 0.000955 0.001223 0.001536 0.001926
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000346 0.000496 0.000683 0.000930 0.001241 0.001617 0.002098
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000290 0.000440 0.000635 0.000902 0.001249 0.001679 0.002244
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000253 0.000405 0.000610 0.000899 0.001285 0.001774 0.002430
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000224 0.000376 0.000590 0.000898 0.001321 0.001868 0.002614
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000196 0.000346 0.000563 0.000887 0.001341 0.001940 0.002771
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000170 0.000316 0.000535 0.000869 0.001350 0.001995 0.002905
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000157 0.000305 0.000533 0.000889 0.001410 0.002120 0.003133
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000145 0.000294 0.000529 0.000905 0.001464 0.002237 0.003353
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000128 0.000271 0.000506 0.000889 0.001472 0.002289 0.003486
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000111 0.000248 0.000479 0.000868 0.001471 0.002330 0.003605
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000100 0.000234 0.000469 0.000871 0.001505 0.002422 0.003797
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000092 0.000225 0.000463 0.000881 0.001550 0.002529 0.004013
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000205 0.000438 0.000857 0.001541 0.002558 0.004116
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000186 0.000412 0.000831 0.001526 0.002576 0.004204
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000175 0.000402 0.000828 0.001549 0.002650 0.004374
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000166 0.000392 0.000827 0.001574 0.002727 0.004550
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000154 0.000378 0.000817 0.001583 0.002780 0.004690
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000142 0.000361 0.000801 0.001580 0.002814 0.004802
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000140 0.000363 0.000819 0.001637 0.002941 0.005057
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000136 0.000363 0.000834 0.001687 0.003059 0.005300